CAWG's Federal lobbyist, Cornerstone Government Affairs has put together a 2018 election analysis. Contained herein is a breakdown of federal and state election results from around the country along with analysis and implications across a wide range of policy areas.
Voters delivered a split verdict in a highly contested and contentious election. This was the first midterm election since 1982 in which the President’s party gained seats in one body of Congress while losing seats in the other.
While we continue to digest exit polling data, it seems that the political polarization of America continues. Are today’s candidates pushing the electorate further to the political edge, or are they simply reflecting that very electorate? Whatever your view, it seems likely that this polarization will make the collaboration and compromise required to solve our nation’s challenges even more difficult to achieve in the 116th Congress.
2018 ELECTION ANALYSIS
NOVEMBER 7, 2018
CORNERSTONE 2018 ELECTION ANALYSIS
Voters delivered a split verdict in a highly contested and contentious election. This was the first midterm election since 1982 in which the President’s party gained seats in one body of Congress while losing seats in the other. While we continue to digest exit polling data, it seems that the political polarization of America continues. Are today’s candidates pushing the electorate further to the political edge, or are they simply reflecting that very electorate? Whatever your view, it seems likely that this polarization will make the collaboration and compromise required to solve our nation’s challenges even more difficult to achieve in the 116th Congress. Democrats regained a majority of the U.S. House of Representatives at the same time Republicans expanded theirs in the U.S. Senate. While the Republican Party’s defeat in the House was “conventional wisdom,” it was salvaged in part by a Senate map that had the GOP defending an abnormally low number of seats and the Democrats defending multiple states that backed Trump in 2016, including Indiana, Missouri, and North Dakota. Also dictating the tenor of Senate races was the aftermath of Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation to the Supreme Court. That bitterly divisive process served as a motivating factor on both sides of the political spectrum. Exit polling may help us understand if it was a net plus for the Republicans or the Democrats. Regardless, it certainly had an impact. What else had an impact? Women. 2018 may forever be known as the Year of the Woman. A surge of female candidates produced a record-breaking number of women elected to Congress. Overwhelmingly, they were Democrats and contributed significantly to shifting control in the House of Representatives. Women also made significant inroads in gubernatorial races, most notably in Kansas and Michigan. Finally, and maybe most importantly, women accounted for a majority of voters in this year’s midterm election (approximately 52 percent) and a majority of those voted for Democrats. In a historical sense, midterms are always a referendum on the sitting president. In 36 of the last 39 midterm elections, the party in the White House has lost an average of 25 House seats in Congress. Suburban voters moved away from President Trump as Democrats appeared to pick up at least 26 seats and possibly as many as 37 when all votes are counted. Democratic gains were not limited to Congress, as the party seized control of enough Governor’s mansions and state legislatures to put the parties on almost equal footing heading into the 2020 cycle. The Senate, meanwhile, was a different story, as Republicans picked up at least three seats, and possibly as many as four. While many Democrats running in red states sought to localize their election and avoid directly confronting the Administration, President Trump was the animating force of the 2018 campaigns and in fact, declared himself to be on the ballot. He campaigned aggressively across the swing states with a message designed to motivate his core supporters. While the President’s efforts
brought significant energy to Republican campaigns, particularly in Senate races, the results were somewhat of a mixed bag depending on the geographic region of the country. But if the 2018 election was a referendum on Trump, it is unclear if his politics, his style (see Twitter), his policies or a combination thereof was the driving factor. In the days leading up to the election, he made clear that our military forces—which are mobilizing to the southern border—are the first line of defense against the migrant caravan heading through Mexico to the United States. While this mobilization galvanized the right, it also complicated some Republicans’ efforts to tout a message of economic prosperity in more moderate suburban battlegrounds where many of the House elections were decided. While Republicans campaigned mostly on immigration and the strong economy, Democrats emphasized health care, particularly on the need to protect coverage of preexisting conditions. Exit polling demonstrates that health care was very important to voters and that by substantial margins they trusted Democrats more than Republicans on the issue. It was an ironic sequel to 2010 when Tea Party attacks on the Affordable Care Ace (aka Obamacare) brought Republicans the majority in the House. With passions running high in both parties, turnout was stronger in 2018 than in any midterm election since the 1960s. With votes still to be counted, an estimated 113 million people cast their ballots this year, compared to 83 million in 2014. Americans also took unprecedented advantage of growing opportunities to vote before Election Day. This was particularly evident among youth voters (age 18 to 29), nearly twice as many of whom voted early this year than four years ago. How do nonprofits, companies, and institutions make sense of all this? At Cornerstone, we take pride that our firm has achieved unparalleled success for our clients by bringing to bear subject matter expertise, a keen understanding of the process and active political engagement with policymakers on both sides of the aisle. While the split verdict by voters means divided government, with gridlock likely, Cornerstone will continue to position our clients for success. And for those political junkies who will experience something of an election hangover now that the attack ads, calls, and knocks at the door are over, fear not. The 2020 presidential election campaign begins in earnest today.
CONTINUE READING THE REPORT:>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>Here
One of the penalties for refusing to participate in politics is that you end up being governed by your inferiors. -- Plato (429-347 BC)
"FIGHTING FOR FREEDOM AND LIBERTY"
and is protected speech pursuant to the "unalienable rights" of all men, and the First (and Second) Amendment to the Constitution of the United States of America, In God we trust
Stand Up To Government Corruption and Hypocrisy
NEVER FORGET THE SACRIFICES
BY OUR VETERANS
Note: We at The Patriot cannot make any warranties about the completeness, reliability, and accuracy of this information.
Don't forget to follow the Friends Of Liberty on Facebook and our Page also Pinterest, Twitter, Tumblr, Me We and Google Plus PLEASE help spread the word by sharing our articles on your favorite social networks.
LibertygroupFreedom 
The Patriot is a non-partisan, non-profit organization with the mission to Educate, protect and defend individual freedoms and individual rights.
Support the Trump Presidency and help us fight Liberal Media Bias. Please LIKE and SHARE this story on Facebook or Twitter.
WE THE PEOPLE
TOGETHER WE WILL MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!
Join The Resistance and Share This Article Now!
TOGETHER WE WILL MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!
Help us spread the word about THE PATRIOT Blog we're reaching millions help us reach millions more.
Help us spread the word about THE PATRIOT Blog we're reaching millions help us reach millions more.
Please SHARE this now! The Crooked Liberal Media will hide and distort the truth. It’s up to us, Trump social media warriors, to get the truth out. If we don’t, no one will!
Share this story on Facebook and let us know because we want to hear YOUR voice!
Facebook has greatly reduced the distribution of our stories in our readers' newsfeeds and is instead promoting mainstream media sources. When you share with your friends, however, you greatly help distribute our content. Please take a moment and consider sharing this article with your friends and family. Thank you
Share this story on Facebook and let us know because we want to hear YOUR voice!
Facebook has greatly reduced the distribution of our stories in our readers' newsfeeds and is instead promoting mainstream media sources. When you share with your friends, however, you greatly help distribute our content. Please take a moment and consider sharing this article with your friends and family. Thank you
No comments:
Post a Comment